ethBELIVER has made $324K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #636 all time by profit, with 4.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$324K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.3M
- Portfolio value
- $491K
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 36 closed)
- 78%
How ethBELIVER has traded
Across all 36 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 28 (78%) ended in profit and 8 in a loss, for +$506K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $482K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 66% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$146K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 63% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$81K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 37% · closed Sep 27, 2026
+$39K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 8% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$39K
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · entry 44% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$31K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Legacy · entry 42% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$29K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves · entry 52% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$29K
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals · entry 70% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$28K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$18K
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson
Clara Tauson · entry 44% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$17K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$24K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$23K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$3,587
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$995
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$348
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$277
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$82
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Mayar Sherif · entry 23% · closed Aug 24, 2026
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 57%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$320K
+$90K P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40K
−$60K P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
+$879 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 72%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
−$1,464 P&L
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$2,701 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 46%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,089
+$2,744 P&L
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 61%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,520
+$1,945 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No · entry 39%, now 64% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,925
+$1,924 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 2%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,450
+$3,081 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 70%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,114
+$723 P&L
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 83%, now 82% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$3,948
−$58 P&L
Kash Patel out by December 31?
No · entry 24%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,930
+$2,753 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 72%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,750
−$570 P&L
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 68%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,632
+$93 P&L
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No · entry 74%, now 98% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,572
+$626 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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