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Same-Incidence

0x05e3…4b87 · Joined December 6, 2025

#3,222,722 all time#674,051 this monthView on Polymarket

Same-Incidence is down $89K in realized results on Polymarket, with 7.8M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$89K
All-time volume (shares)
7.8M
Portfolio value
$11
Profit this month
−$23K
Win rate (last 200 closed)
96%

How Same-Incidence has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 191 (96%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for +$436K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 174 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $11 together, the biggest is “Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5” (Over) at 100% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5

    Over · entry 41% · closed Jan 1, 2026

    +$14K

  • England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

    Over · entry 57% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    +$11K

  • Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5

    Over · entry 48% · closed Jun 16, 2026

    +$10K

  • Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

    Over · entry 50% · closed Jun 20, 2026

    +$10K

  • Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5

    Over · entry 48% · closed Dec 31, 2025

    +$9,602

  • Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    +$8,079

  • Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

    Rockets · entry 44% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    +$8,012

  • FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

    Over · entry 56% · closed Dec 13, 2025

    +$7,920

  • England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

    Over · entry 39% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    +$7,719

  • Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

    Arthur Fery · entry 32% · closed Jul 8, 2026

    +$7,172

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

    Yes · entry 48% · closed Aug 30, 2026

    −$15K

  • Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$5,011

  • Suns vs. Pelicans

    Pelicans · entry 63% · closed Dec 27, 2025

    −$3,000

  • Pistons vs. Jazz

    Pistons · entry 76% · closed Dec 27, 2025

    −$2,000

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

    Over · entry 53% · closed Aug 28, 2026

    −$1,949

  • Pistons vs. Clippers

    Pistons · entry 61% · closed Dec 29, 2025

    −$1,216

  • Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

    Yes · entry 24% · closed Sep 13, 2026

    −$1,151

  • Spurs vs. Thunder

    Thunder · entry 78% · closed Dec 26, 2025

    −$1,000

  • Bucks vs. Nets

    Bucks · entry 46% · closed Dec 14, 2025

    −$699

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Up · entry 49% · closed Dec 9, 2025

    −$500

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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