goingsocial has made $38K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,620 all time by profit, with 7.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$38K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.2M
- Portfolio value
- $30K
- Profit this month
- +$81
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 51%
How goingsocial has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (51%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for −$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $30K together, the biggest is “Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?” (No) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 7, 2024
+$19K
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?
No · entry 47% · closed Jul 5, 2024
+$18K
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 67% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$18K
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$14K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 27% · closed May 27, 2026
+$14K
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
No · entry 82% · closed Oct 9, 2024
+$12K
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Oct 9, 2024
+$11K
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Feb 11, 2026
+$9,091
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Aug 23, 2024
+$8,779
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
No · entry 59% · closed May 24, 2026
+$8,328
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Dec 11, 2025
−$39K
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
No · entry 74% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$27K
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
No · entry 54% · closed May 24, 2026
−$12K
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Yes · entry 17% · closed May 1, 2025
−$9,784
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
No · entry 20% · closed Mar 10, 2025
−$7,663
Will Cyril Ramaphosa be the next President of South Africa?
No · entry 23% · closed Jun 27, 2024
−$7,201
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Aug 7, 2024
−$6,496
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
No · entry 52% · closed May 31, 2023
−$6,084
Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?
No · entry 90% · closed Jun 8, 2024
−$5,354
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
No · entry 29% · closed Jan 2, 2024
−$5,008
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 57%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$9,167
−$600 P&L
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 89% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,384
+$490 P&L
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 48%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,990
+$2,077 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 8%, now 7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,586
−$921 P&L
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?
Yes · entry 40%, now 47% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,115
+$300 P&L
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 15% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,500
+$200 P&L
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?
Yes · entry 89%, now 83% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,347
−$106 P&L
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?
No · entry 40%, now 47% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,134
+$149 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No · entry 33%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,050
−$50 P&L
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$491
+$229 P&L
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
No · entry 76%, now 77% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$341
+$1 P&L
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Yes · entry 26%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$319
−$1 P&L
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
Yes · entry 80%, now 76% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$168
−$9 P&L
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
No · entry 31%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$121
+$81 P&L
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$77
−$10 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 48%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold Yes at 67%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 73%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold No at 5%
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Sold No at 6%
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Sold No at 5%
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Sold Yes at 6%
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Bought No at 33%
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought No at 75%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.