Bleak-Lava has made $4.7M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #26 all time by profit, with 64M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 14, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$4.7M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 64M
- Portfolio value
- $80K
- Profit this month
- +$344
- Win rate (last 193 closed)
- 41%
How Bleak-Lava has traded
Across the 193 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 79 (41%) ended in profit and 114 in a loss, for +$1.3M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 44%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 87 of the 193 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $80K together, the biggest is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?” (No) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?
No · entry 27% · closed Jan 21, 2026
+$730K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?
No · entry 42% · closed Jan 21, 2026
+$714K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
No · entry 33% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$670K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
No · entry 33% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$532K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?
No · entry 38% · closed Jan 18, 2026
+$462K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?
No · entry 35% · closed Jan 29, 2026
+$435K
Alabama vs. Oklahoma
Alabama · entry 44% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$389K
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5
Under · entry 52% · closed Jan 15, 2026
+$309K
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5
Under · entry 47% · closed Jan 22, 2026
+$289K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
Texans · entry 44% · closed Dec 8, 2025
+$280K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Mar 7, 2026
−$637K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?
No · entry 56% · closed Jan 21, 2026
−$448K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?
No · entry 40% · closed Jan 30, 2026
−$400K
Bucks vs. Nets
Bucks · entry 51% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$357K
Clippers vs. Hawks
Hawks · entry 52% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$288K
Pelicans vs. Bulls
Pelicans · entry 46% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$260K
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 144.5
Under · entry 50% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$250K
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5
Under · entry 49% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$245K
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5
Under · entry 49% · closed Jan 21, 2026
−$245K
Mavericks vs. Bulls
Mavericks · entry 38% · closed Jan 18, 2026
−$230K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$80K
+$5,397 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Sold No at 99%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Bought at 3%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5 AND Collignon vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 23.5 AND Vallejo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5 AND Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5 AND Gangwon FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5 AND AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5 AND Bandecchi vs. Gao: Match O/U 21.5 AND Erjavec vs. Grabher: Match O/U 21.5
$0
Bought at 3%
Ouden vs. Coppejans: Match O/U 22.5 AND Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5 AND Collignon vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 23.5 AND Rublev vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5 AND Gangwon FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5 AND AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5 AND Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5 AND Forbes vs. Tomic: Match O/U 22.5
$1
Bought at 1%
FCSB vs. FC Argeș Pitești: O/U 2.5 AND Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes AND Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5 AND Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Thijs Boogaard AND Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) AND Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) AND Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17? AND Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?
$1
Bought No at 59%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
$152
Bought at 18%
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
$1
Bought at 18%
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
$1
Bought at 18%
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
$1
Bought at 18%
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
$1
Bought at 18%
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
$1
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.