NBA: 2026-27 MVP odds
Polymarket traders make Victor Wembanyama the favorite for “NBA: 2026-27 MVP” at 24% (−5.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 19%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 33 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 24%
Victor Wembanyama24%24h −5.0 ptsOdds 4.26US +326Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 19%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander19%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 5.26US +426Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 15%
Luka Doncic15%24h +1.7 ptsOdds 6.76US +576Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 13%
Nikola Jokic13%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 8.00US +700Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 11%
Anthony Edwards11%24h −2.2 ptsOdds 8.89US +789Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 6%
Tyrese Maxey6%24h +1.1 ptsOdds 17.86US +1686Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
Giannis Antetokounmpo4%24h −0.8 ptsOdds 24.39US +2339Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
Jalen Johnson4%24h +3.4 ptsOdds 27.78US +2678Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Jayson Tatum2%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 40.82US +3982Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Cade Cunningham2%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 46.51US +4551Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Tyrese Haliburton2%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 52.63US +5163Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Kawhi Leonard2%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 55.56US +5456Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Jalen Brunson1%24h −0.9 ptsOdds 71.43US +7043Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Alperen Sengun1%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 80.00US +7900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.9%
Jaylen Brown0.9%24h −0.5 ptsOdds 111.11US +11011Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 33 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- 0.7%
LeBron James0.7%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 153.85US +15285Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Cooper Flagg0.5%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
Kevin Durant0.4%24h −0.9 ptsOdds 285.71US +28471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Paolo Banchero0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 333.33US +33233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Deni Avdija0.3%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Donovan Mitchell0.3%24h −0.7 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Scottie Barnes0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
Stephen Curry0.3%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Bam Adebayo0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Anthony Davis0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Devin Booker0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Joel Embiid0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Austin Reaves<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Evan Mobley<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Jamal Murray<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Karl-Anthony Towns<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
LaMelo Ball<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Zion Williamson<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“NBA: 2026-27 MVP” is a Polymarket event with 33 open outcomes. Victor Wembanyama leads at 24%, ahead of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 19%. Victor Wembanyama is down 5.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 7.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $65K through the event so far, including $10K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in NBA: 2026-27 MVP?
- Victor Wembanyama is the favorite at 24%, followed by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 19% and Luka Doncic at 15%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
- Polymarket traders give Victor Wembanyama a 24% chance, which is decimal odds of 4.26 (American +326): $1 staked on Victor Wembanyama returns about $4.26 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 5.0 points.
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