MLS Cup Winner 2026 odds
Polymarket traders make Nashville SC the favorite for “MLS Cup Winner 2026” at 17% (−1.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Inter Miami CF at 17%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 28 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 17%
Nashville SC17%24h −1.1 ptsOdds 5.80US +480Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 17%
Inter Miami CF17%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 6.06US +506Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 15%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC15%24h −3.0 ptsOdds 6.51US +551Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 7%
St. Louis City SC7%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 14.29US +1329Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 7%
Philadelphia Union7%24h +0.3 ptsOdds 14.60US +1360Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 6%
Los Angeles FC6%24h +2.4 ptsOdds 16.26US +1526Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%
FC Dallas5%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 18.52US +1752Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%
Chicago Fire FC5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 20.62US +1962Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
New England Revolution4%24h +0.9 ptsOdds 25.32US +2432Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
Houston Dynamo FC4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 27.03US +2603Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 3%
Charlotte FC3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 38.46US +3746Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
San Jose Earthquakes2%24h −0.8 ptsOdds 51.28US +5028Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Seattle Sounders FC2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 58.82US +5782Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Orlando City SC1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 74.07US +7307Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
FC Cincinnati1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 100.00US +9900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 28 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- 0.7%
Toronto FC0.7%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 153.85US +15285Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.6%
Colorado Rapids0.6%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 166.67US +16567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
LA Galaxy0.4%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 222.22US +22122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
New York Red Bulls0.4%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 250.00US +24900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.3%
New York City FC0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.2%
Columbus Crew0.2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Real Salt Lake0.1%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
San Diego FC0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
D.C. United0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1000.00US +99900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.1%
Portland Timbers0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1000.00US +99900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Atlanta United FC<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Austin FC<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Minnesota United FC<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“MLS Cup Winner 2026” is a Polymarket event with 28 open outcomes. Nashville SC leads at 17%, ahead of Inter Miami CF at 17%. Nashville SC is down 1.1 points over the last 24 hours and down 1.9 points over the past week. Traders have put $23M through the event so far, including $12K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

ENGR894 sold No at >99%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in MLS Cup Winner 2026?
- Nashville SC is the favorite at 17%, followed by Inter Miami CF at 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 15%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- Polymarket traders give Nashville SC a 17% chance, which is decimal odds of 5.80 (American +480): $1 staked on Nashville SC returns about $5.80 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 1.1 points.
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