Who is the favorite in "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)?

22.5-24M is the favorite at 82%, followed by 24M+ at 17% and <19.5M at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?

Polymarket traders give 22.5-24M a 82% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.22 (American −456): $1 staked on 22.5-24M returns about $1.22 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 14 points.

"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets) odds

Q: Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?

Polymarket traders give 22.5-24M a 82% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.22 (American −456): $1 staked on 22.5-24M returns about $1.22 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 14 points.

Polymarket traders make 22.5-24M the favorite for “"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)” at 82% (+14 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 24M+ at 17%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 22Oct 26

22.5-24M24M+<19.5M19.5-21M

All 5 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of 01:50 UTC, 26 Oct 2026

22.5-24M
82%
82%
24h +14 ptsOdds 1.22US −456
Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
24M+
17%
17%
24h +4.0 ptsOdds 5.80US +480
Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
<19.5M
<0.1%
<0.1%
24h −0.2 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900
Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
19.5-21M
<0.1%
<0.1%
24h −0.5 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900
Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
21-22.5M
<0.1%
<0.1%
24h −15 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900
Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)

Where this market stands

“"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)” is a Polymarket event with 5 open outcomes. 22.5-24M leads at 82%, ahead of 24M+ at 17%. 22.5-24M is up 14 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $44K through the event so far, including $5,773 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

0120346 bought No at 55%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?
$1,125
10:15 PM UTC
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)
0x955c…990f bought No at 94%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?
$2,232
04:29 AM UTC
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)?: 22.5-24M is the favorite at 82%, followed by 24M+ at 17% and <19.5M at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?: Polymarket traders give 22.5-24M a 82% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.22 (American −456): $1 staked on 22.5-24M returns about $1.22 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 14 points.

"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office

10m-12m58%
12m-14m40%
14m-16m0.2%

$118K traded · $23K in 24h