California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Steve Hilton the favorite for “California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner” at 63% (−4.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Xavier Becerra at 35%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 63%
Steve Hilton63%24h −4.5 ptsOdds 1.59US −170Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 35%
Xavier Becerra35%24h +4.0 ptsOdds 2.90US +190Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Steve Hilton leads at 63%, ahead of Xavier Becerra at 35%. Steve Hilton is down 4.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 3.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $14K through the event so far, including $948 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 3, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner?
- Steve Hilton is the favorite at 63%, followed by Xavier Becerra at 35%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Steve Hilton a 63% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.59 (American −170): $1 staked on Steve Hilton returns about $1.59 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 4.5 points.
