Bitcoin above X on October 31 odds
The highest-priced market in “Bitcoin above X on October 31” is 70,000 at >99% (+0.8 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 72,000 at 99%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 11 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- >99%
70,000>99%24h +0.8 ptsOdds 1.01US −13233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 99%72,00099%24h +1.9 ptsOdds 1.01US −8233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 95%74,00095%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 1.05US −2051Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 91%76,00091%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 1.10US −953Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 77%78,00077%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 1.30US −335Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 55%80,00055%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 1.82US −122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 33%82,00033%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 3.08US +208Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 15%84,00015%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 6.67US +567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 7%86,0007%24h −1.5 ptsOdds 15.38US +1438Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2%88,0002%24h −1.2 ptsOdds 42.55US +4155Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2%90,0002%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 62.50US +6150Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Bitcoin above X on October 31” is a Polymarket event with 11 open outcomes. 70,000 has the highest price at >99%, ahead of 72,000 at 99%. 70,000 is up 0.8 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $15K through the event so far, including $13K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 31, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at >99% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.01 (American −13233): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.01 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.8 points.
